TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055108
Played Sep 1Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113119––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 49 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 56.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 4–2 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Shmyndra
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1630 vs Seliuchenko 1777
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 80% vs Seliuchenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 60% vs Seliuchenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra +4 · Seliuchenko -1
Shmyndra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 2.00 / Seliuchenko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055108
Shmyndra2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 48 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Seliuchenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 65 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeShmyndra4wins
AwaySeliuchenko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderShmyndra leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra50%2 of 4
AwaySeliuchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra4Seliuchenko2n = 6Shmyndra took 4 of 6
S2Shmyndra3Seliuchenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Shmyndra2Seliuchenko4n = 6Seliuchenko took 4 of 6
S4Shmyndra3Seliuchenko2n = 5Shmyndra took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricShmyndraSeliuchenkoShmyndra − SeliuchenkoBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.340.3+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 177 vs 176 / 28945.2%60.9%80 / 177 vs 176 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoShmyndra 2.00/Seliuchenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shmyndra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra—1111113O. Seliuchenko—4390
LAug 12 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra—1476181O. Seliuchenko—121111203
LJul 15 · 09:50Y. Shmyndra—118681O. Seliuchenko—91111113
WJul 14 · 16:00Y. Shmyndra—771112113O. Seliuchenko—111181082
WJul 7 · 17:30Y. Shmyndra—811511133O. Seliuchenko—114117112
WJun 30 · 14:00Y. Shmyndra—11116133O. Seliuchenko—8811111
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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