TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055082
Played Sep 1Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151412117––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 57.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 6–8 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Anatolii Lievshin has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:54What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Seliuchenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1605 vs Seliuchenko 1821
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 20% vs Seliuchenko 100%
Seliuchenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 20% vs Seliuchenko 70%
Seliuchenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -1 · Seliuchenko +5
Seliuchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 2.00 / Seliuchenko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055082
Lievshin2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 50 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Seliuchenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 65 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin3wins
AwaySeliuchenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeliuchenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin3Seliuchenko7n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S2Lievshin3Seliuchenko7n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S3Lievshin6Seliuchenko4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin2Seliuchenko3n = 5Seliuchenko took 3 of 5
S5Lievshin1Seliuchenko2n = 3Seliuchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoL − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.938.2−4.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 285 vs 176 / 28755.4%61.3%158 / 285 vs 176 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoLievshin 2.00/Seliuchenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin—1291151O. Seliuchenko—14118113
WAug 25 · 17:30A. Lievshin—1414113O. Seliuchenko—121220
LAug 19 · 12:20A. Lievshin—6940O. Seliuchenko—1111113
LAug 18 · 18:30A. Lievshin—8590O. Seliuchenko—1111113
LAug 12 · 06:50A. Lievshin—114111032O. Seliuchenko—911912113
LAug 5 · 06:50A. Lievshin—12101171O. Seliuchenko—14123113
LAug 4 · 14:30A. Lievshin—71171192O. Seliuchenko—117115113
LJul 31 · 14:40A. Lievshin—4570O. Seliuchenko—1111113
WJul 28 · 17:30A. Lievshin—1112113O. Seliuchenko—71070
WJun 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin—661311123O. Seliuchenko—1111119102
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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