TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060664
Played Sep 2Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115511611––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 2–2 Anatolii Lievshin Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shmyndra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1648 vs Lievshin 1689
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 80% vs Lievshin 60%
Shmyndra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 70% vs Lievshin 30%
Shmyndra
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra -1 · Lievshin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shmyndra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shmyndra form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.73 / Lievshin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Shmyndra)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060664
Shmyndra1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 29 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it58% 15 of 26
Lievshin2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 53 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeShmyndra2wins
AwayLievshin2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra66.7%2 of 3
AwayLievshinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra3Lievshin1n = 4Shmyndra took 3 of 4
S2Shmyndra3Lievshin1n = 4Shmyndra took 3 of 4
S3Shmyndra2Lievshin2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricShmyndraLievshinS − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.032.0+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 182 vs 164 / 29245.6%56.2%83 / 182 vs 164 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.73/Lievshin 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra—811561A. Lievshin—11511113
WSep 1 · 15:30Y. Shmyndra—1113113A. Lievshin—71170
WAug 12 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra—1111113A. Lievshin—5870
LAug 11 · 15:30Y. Shmyndra—116811102A. Lievshin—311118123
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102WSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
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