TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084080
Played Sep 6Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611211511––––
Serhii Kalenyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Serhii Kalenyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 46 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 56.1%
46 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 4–6 Serhii Kalenyk Yurii Shmyndra has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shmyndra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kalenyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1636 vs Kalenyk 1460
Shmyndra
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 60% vs Kalenyk 40%
Shmyndra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 60% vs Kalenyk 30%
Shmyndra
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra +1 · Kalenyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Shmyndra)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.73 / Kalenyk 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Shmyndra)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084080
Shmyndra1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 30 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it59% 16 of 27
Kalenyk2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShmyndra4wins
AwayKalenyk6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKalenyk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra75%3 of 4
AwayKalenyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra4Kalenyk6n = 10Kalenyk took 6 of 10
S2Shmyndra3Kalenyk7n = 10Kalenyk took 7 of 10
S3Shmyndra6Kalenyk4n = 10Shmyndra took 6 of 10
S4Shmyndra3Kalenyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShmyndraKalenykS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.135.8−3.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraKalenykBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 187 vs 335 / 71546%46.9%86 / 187 vs 335 / 715Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.73/Kalenyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kalenyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra—111111113S. Kalenyk—613551
LAug 16 · 10:05Y. Shmyndra—4540S. Kalenyk—1111113
WAug 15 · 13:35Y. Shmyndra—1312113S. Kalenyk—111060
LAug 8 · 03:00Y. Shmyndra—114651S. Kalenyk—81111113
WJul 12 · 11:35Y. Shmyndra—81111123S. Kalenyk—1197101
LJul 11 · 17:05Y. Shmyndra—411118112S. Kalenyk—116611133
LJun 28 · 10:05Y. Shmyndra—1281161S. Kalenyk—14119113
LJun 27 · 02:30Y. Shmyndra—83120S. Kalenyk—1111143
WJun 14 · 08:35Y. Shmyndra—11711113S. Kalenyk—711751
LJun 6 · 17:05Y. Shmyndra—6360S. Kalenyk—1111113
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551WSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191
S. Kalenyk10
WSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113LSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791WSep 6 · 08:35N. Kovalchuk1.617121191S. Kalenyk2.2011149113WSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113WSep 5 · 19:05S. Kalenyk2.501112113M. Smyrnov1.5051080WSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113LSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551LSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532
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