TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084160
Played Sep 6Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121311119911611
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 103 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 66.5%
103 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 10–6 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shmyndra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Shmyndra
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1574 vs Mitla 1465
Shmyndra
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 40% vs Mitla 80%
Mitla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 60% vs Mitla 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Shmyndra) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.50 / Mitla 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Shmyndra)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084160
Shmyndra1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 31 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 17 of 28
Mitla2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 170 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back27% 62 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back12% 15 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShmyndra6wins
AwayMitla4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShmyndra leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra83.3%5 of 6
AwayMitla75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra6Mitla4n = 10Shmyndra took 6 of 10
S2Shmyndra5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S3Shmyndra8Mitla2n = 10Shmyndra took 8 of 10
S4Shmyndra3Mitla5n = 8Mitla took 5 of 8
S5Shmyndra2Mitla2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShmyndraMitlaS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.4+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 192 vs 329 / 75545.3%43.6%87 / 192 vs 329 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.50/Mitla 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra—101311962O. Mitla—1211911113
WAug 30 · 06:35Y. Shmyndra—11711113O. Mitla—511761
LAug 29 · 15:05Y. Shmyndra—4101171O. Mitla—11128103
WAug 23 · 11:35Y. Shmyndra—1111113O. Mitla—9520
WAug 22 · 12:35Y. Shmyndra—111188133O. Mitla—151111112
LAug 8 · 16:05Y. Shmyndra—1241181O. Mitla—101113113
LAug 7 · 21:00Y. Shmyndra—95111192O. Mitla—111146113
WJul 5 · 06:35Y. Shmyndra—11811113O. Mitla—911971
WJul 4 · 14:05Y. Shmyndra—611114113O. Mitla—11841192
WJun 28 · 05:05Y. Shmyndra—1114113O. Mitla—91270
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551WSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191
O. Mitla10
LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791LSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452LSep 6 · 05:05N. Kovalchuk1.3611411113O. Mitla3.00611451WSep 5 · 02:00M. Smyrnov1.919118101O. Mitla1.8011611123WSep 5 · 01:00O. Mitla1.80126611113V. Vlasenko1.91101111792WSep 5 · 24:00O. Mitla2.38111192113S. Kalenyk1.5387111182WSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152LSep 4 · 20:30O. Mitla1.9112106101O. Hura1.80101211123WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.