Valerii Vlasenko vs Oleksii Mitla 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13084111

Played Sep 6Finished

Valerii Vlasenko

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1113118411114115

Oleksii Mitla

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksii Mitla to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Oleksii Mitla below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 89 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%

89 points played in total.

H2H Valerii Vlasenko 37–36 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 36 of their 73 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 19:03

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Mitla

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

37-36 in 73

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vlasenko 1551 vs Mitla 1481

Vlasenko

Correct

both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vlasenko 60% vs Mitla 80%

Mitla

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vlasenko 60% vs Mitla 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vlasenko +2 · Mitla +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mitla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVlasenko 1.83 / Mitla 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Vlasenko)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #13084111

Vlasenko1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Mitla1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVlasenko5wins

AwayMitla5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVlasenko80%4 of 5

AwayMitla80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vlasenko5Mitla5n = 10split evenly

S2Vlasenko6Mitla4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10

S3Vlasenko5Mitla5n = 10split evenly

S4Vlasenko3Mitla5n = 8Mitla took 5 of 8

S5Vlasenko3Mitla2n = 5Vlasenko took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVlasenkoMitlaV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.442.5+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVlasenkoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 939 vs 328 / 75344.1%43.6%414 / 939 vs 328 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vlasenko

Vlasenko 1.83/Mitla 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vlasenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vlasenko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 01:15V. Vlasenko—1341112123O. Mitla—11111310102

WAug 30 · 08:35V. Vlasenko—1112811113O. Mitla—810111352

WAug 28 · 23:00V. Vlasenko—1111153O. Mitla—48130

LAug 26 · 20:45V. Vlasenko—1111912102O. Mitla—9131110123

LAug 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—8137111O. Mitla—111111133

LAug 17 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—101111982O. Mitla—128911113

LAug 14 · 24:15V. Vlasenko—6101171O. Mitla—11124113

WAug 12 · 23:45V. Vlasenko—741111113O. Mitla—11117582

WAug 11 · 23:45V. Vlasenko—1111113O. Mitla—6890

LAug 8 · 24:30V. Vlasenko—81111101O. Mitla—11713123

V. Vlasenko10

LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113 WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113 WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113 WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181 LSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192 WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153 LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152 WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123 LSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592 WSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101

O. Mitla10

LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141 WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791 WSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113 LSep 6 · 05:05N. Kovalchuk1.3611411113O. Mitla3.00611451 WSep 5 · 02:00M. Smyrnov1.919118101O. Mitla1.8011611123 WSep 5 · 01:00O. Mitla1.80126611113V. Vlasenko1.91101111792 WSep 5 · 24:00O. Mitla2.38111192113S. Kalenyk1.5387111182 WSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152 LSep 4 · 20:30O. Mitla1.9112106101O. Hura1.80101211123 WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151

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