TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074591
Played Sep 5Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11781115131210––
Orest Hura
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:28 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 87 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Orest Hura at 56.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 60–92 Orest Hura Valerii Vlasenko has won 60 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-92 in 152
Hura
Wrong
gap of 32 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1447 vs Hura 1584
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 40% vs Hura 60%
Hura
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 50% vs Hura 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -1 · Hura -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 2.00 / Hura 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hura)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13074591
Vlasenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 123 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Hura1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 87 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it73% 60 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko4wins
AwayHura6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHura leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko37.5%3 of 8
AwayHuran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko8Hura2n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S2Vlasenko3Hura7n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S3Vlasenko4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S4Vlasenko4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S5Vlasenko1Hura2n = 3Hura took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoHuraV − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.544.1−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 930 vs 419 / 78743.9%53.2%408 / 930 vs 419 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraVlasenko 2.00/Hura 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 02:15V. Vlasenko—991181O. Hura—11119113
LAug 30 · 07:05V. Vlasenko—16951142O. Hura—1411118113
LAug 29 · 02:00V. Vlasenko—119581O. Hura—81111113
WAug 26 · 02:15V. Vlasenko—11119113O. Hura—791181
WAug 22 · 02:00V. Vlasenko—811117113O. Hura—11791182
WAug 16 · 05:35V. Vlasenko—11711123O. Hura—9117101
LAug 15 · 17:05V. Vlasenko—1184101O. Hura—41111123
LAug 13 · 01:45V. Vlasenko—116961O. Hura—71111113
LAug 12 · 01:45V. Vlasenko—11227392O. Hura—8201111113
WAug 8 · 02:00V. Vlasenko—111011203O. Hura—8128181
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592
O. Hura10
WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113WSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Smyrnov2.0011911113O. Hura1.73611691WSep 4 · 20:30O. Mitla1.9112106101O. Hura1.80101211123WSep 3 · 02:15O. Hura1.6711119113V. Vlasenko2.10991181
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