TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073962
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Berezynskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811811611––
Orest Hura
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Berezynskyi above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 59.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Berezynskyi 36–29 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 29 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Berezynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-29 in 65
Berezynskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berezynskyi 1667 vs Hura 1586
Berezynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Hura 60%
Hura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berezynskyi 60% vs Hura 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berezynskyi -1 · Hura -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Berezynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerezynskyi 1.67 / Hura 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073962
Berezynskyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 55 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Hura2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 38 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerezynskyi7wins
AwayHura3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerezynskyi87.5%7 of 8
AwayHuran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berezynskyi8Hura2n = 10Berezynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Berezynskyi4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S3Berezynskyi9Hura1n = 10Berezynskyi took 9 of 10
S4Berezynskyi4Hura3n = 7Berezynskyi took 4 of 7
S5Berezynskyi1Hura2n = 3Hura took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerezynskyiHuraB − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.933.2+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerezynskyiHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 350 vs 418 / 78550.6%53.3%177 / 350 vs 418 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiBerezynskyi 1.67/Hura 2.10
Miss
What we said
59.4%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 22:45S. Berezynskyi—11116113O. Hura—681161
WAug 8 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi—1111113O. Hura—6660
WAug 8 · 24:00S. Berezynskyi—1111113O. Hura—8780
WJul 29 · 20:15S. Berezynskyi—1111113O. Hura—9570
LJul 10 · 22:30S. Berezynskyi—11715682O. Hura—6111311113
WJun 25 · 24:45S. Berezynskyi—1112119113O. Hura—51491122
LJun 20 · 01:00S. Berezynskyi—7611101O. Hura—11115123
WJun 17 · 24:15S. Berezynskyi—11611113O. Hura—711751
LJun 13 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi—66111132O. Hura—111169113
WJun 13 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi—11711113O. Hura—611571
S. Berezynskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123WSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592WSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532LSep 5 · 24:30M. Smyrnov2.501111123S. Berezynskyi1.5087100LSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152WSep 4 · 21:00S. Berezynskyi1.5011811113V. Vlasenko2.50711671LSep 1 · 01:52N. Kovalchuk1.4412611153S. Berezynskyi2.6310117131
O. Hura10
WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Smyrnov2.0011911113O. Hura1.73611691WSep 4 · 20:30O. Mitla1.9112106101O. Hura1.80101211123WSep 3 · 02:15O. Hura1.6711119113V. Vlasenko2.10991181
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