TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079269
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Berezynskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113118811115119
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Berezynskyi above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 66.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Berezynskyi 34–17 Valerii Vlasenko Valerii Vlasenko has won 17 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-17 in 51
Berezynskyi
Correct
gap of 17 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berezynskyi 1626 vs Vlasenko 1513
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Vlasenko 60%
Vlasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Vlasenko 60%
Vlasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Berezynskyi +1 · Vlasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Berezynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerezynskyi 1.44 / Vlasenko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079269
Berezynskyi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 44 of 60
Vlasenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 125 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerezynskyi6wins
AwayVlasenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerezynskyi75%3 of 4
AwayVlasenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berezynskyi4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Berezynskyi3Vlasenko7n = 10Vlasenko took 7 of 10
S3Berezynskyi8Vlasenko2n = 10Berezynskyi took 8 of 10
S4Berezynskyi4Vlasenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Berezynskyi3Vlasenko0n = 3Berezynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerezynskyiVlasenkoB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.4+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerezynskyiVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 358 vs 411 / 93650.6%43.9%181 / 358 vs 411 / 936Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiBerezynskyi 1.44/Vlasenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi—1111811113V. Vlasenko—13811592
WSep 4 · 21:00S. Berezynskyi—11811113V. Vlasenko—711671
WAug 31 · 23:45S. Berezynskyi—1112113V. Vlasenko—51050
WAug 27 · 24:15S. Berezynskyi—791112113V. Vlasenko—111171082
WAug 7 · 20:00S. Berezynskyi—8101111153V. Vlasenko—111298132
LJul 30 · 24:15S. Berezynskyi—1031171V. Vlasenko—12117113
WJul 13 · 21:45S. Berezynskyi—1111113V. Vlasenko—6780
LJul 11 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi—11911101V. Vlasenko—13117123
LJul 2 · 02:15S. Berezynskyi—1391171V. Vlasenko—15114113
LJun 25 · 02:15S. Berezynskyi—1151261V. Vlasenko—51114113
S. Berezynskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123WSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532LSep 5 · 24:30M. Smyrnov2.501111123S. Berezynskyi1.5087100LSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113LSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152WSep 4 · 21:00S. Berezynskyi1.5011811113V. Vlasenko2.50711671LSep 1 · 01:52N. Kovalchuk1.4412611153S. Berezynskyi2.6310117131
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 4 · 21:00S. Berezynskyi1.5011811113V. Vlasenko2.50711671
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