TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074437
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Berezynskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811116117––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Berezynskyi above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 66.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Berezynskyi 31–17 Valerii Vlasenko Valerii Vlasenko has won 17 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-17 in 48
Berezynskyi
Correct
gap of 14 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berezynskyi 1681 vs Vlasenko 1433
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 248 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Vlasenko 60%
Vlasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berezynskyi 60% vs Vlasenko 30%
Berezynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Berezynskyi -2 · Vlasenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Berezynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerezynskyi 1.50 / Vlasenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13074437
Berezynskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 55 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Vlasenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 123 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerezynskyi6wins
AwayVlasenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerezynskyi80%4 of 5
AwayVlasenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berezynskyi5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Berezynskyi2Vlasenko8n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S3Berezynskyi9Vlasenko1n = 10Berezynskyi took 9 of 10
S4Berezynskyi3Vlasenko5n = 8Vlasenko took 5 of 8
S5Berezynskyi3Vlasenko0n = 3Berezynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerezynskyiVlasenkoB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.6+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerezynskyiVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 358 vs 406 / 92651.7%43.8%185 / 358 vs 406 / 926Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiBerezynskyi 1.50/Vlasenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 24:15S. Berezynskyi—791112113V. Vlasenko—111171082
WAug 7 · 20:00S. Berezynskyi—8101111153V. Vlasenko—111298132
LJul 30 · 24:15S. Berezynskyi—1031171V. Vlasenko—12117113
WJul 13 · 21:45S. Berezynskyi—1111113V. Vlasenko—6780
LJul 11 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi—11911101V. Vlasenko—13117123
LJul 2 · 02:15S. Berezynskyi—1391171V. Vlasenko—15114113
LJun 25 · 02:15S. Berezynskyi—1151261V. Vlasenko—51114113
WJun 19 · 23:00S. Berezynskyi—1211113V. Vlasenko—10350
WJun 16 · 20:15S. Berezynskyi—11612143V. Vlasenko—51110121
WJun 13 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi—119115113V. Vlasenko—81191142
S. Berezynskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123WSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592WSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532LSep 5 · 24:30M. Smyrnov2.501111123S. Berezynskyi1.5087100LSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113LSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152LSep 1 · 01:52N. Kovalchuk1.4412611153S. Berezynskyi2.6310117131
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592
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