TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079076
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210711117811119
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 56.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 6–7 Valerii Vlasenko Yurii Shmyndra has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shmyndra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1628 vs Vlasenko 1521
Shmyndra
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 60% vs Vlasenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 60% vs Vlasenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra -1 · Vlasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Shmyndra)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.73 / Vlasenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Shmyndra)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079076
Shmyndra1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 29 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it58% 15 of 26
Vlasenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 125 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShmyndra5wins
AwayVlasenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra25%1 of 4
AwayVlasenko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Shmyndra6Vlasenko4n = 10Shmyndra took 6 of 10
S3Shmyndra3Vlasenko7n = 10Vlasenko took 7 of 10
S4Shmyndra6Vlasenko4n = 10Shmyndra took 6 of 10
S5Shmyndra3Vlasenko2n = 5Shmyndra took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShmyndraVlasenkoS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.744.2−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 186 vs 411 / 93545.7%44%85 / 186 vs 411 / 935Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.73/Vlasenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shmyndra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 09:35Y. Shmyndra—1191110143V. Vlasenko—911912122
WAug 21 · 23:00Y. Shmyndra—711617113V. Vlasenko—119111572
LAug 16 · 11:05Y. Shmyndra—4111771V. Vlasenko—11819113
LAug 15 · 12:35Y. Shmyndra—14481182V. Vlasenko—1211115113
LAug 9 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra—11161162V. Vlasenko—116119113
WAug 7 · 23:00Y. Shmyndra—101111113V. Vlasenko—128691
WJul 11 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra—81311113V. Vlasenko—1111881
LJun 14 · 09:35Y. Shmyndra—1110871V. Vlasenko—31211113
WJun 13 · 14:35Y. Shmyndra—911911113V. Vlasenko—11511762
LJun 7 · 05:35Y. Shmyndra—116561V. Vlasenko—61111113
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551WSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592WSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101
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