TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061331
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksii Mitla
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111311115––
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Mitla above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 79 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Mitla 59–45 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 45 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mitla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-45 in 104
Mitla
Correct
gap of 14 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitla 1418 vs Shypilov 1484
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitla 0% vs Shypilov 20%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitla 40% vs Shypilov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitla -5 · Shypilov -2
Mitla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shypilov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitla 1.80 / Shypilov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shypilov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061331
Mitla1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite50% won 63 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Shypilov1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 199 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back30% 66 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back14% 16 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMitla6wins
AwayShypilov4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitla100%6 of 6
AwayShypilov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitla6Shypilov4n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S2Mitla4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Mitla5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mitla5Shypilov3n = 8Mitla took 5 of 8
S5Mitla2Shypilov1n = 3Mitla took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMitlaShypilovM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.5−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitlaShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 744 vs 354 / 77343.3%45.8%322 / 744 vs 354 / 773Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovMitla 1.80/Shypilov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 19:05O. Mitla—271151A. Shypilov—11119113
WAug 28 · 21:00O. Mitla—11132113A. Shypilov—8111191
WAug 26 · 23:45O. Mitla—111186113A. Shypilov—59111172
WAug 22 · 16:05O. Mitla—118614113A. Shypilov—811111282
LAug 19 · 20:45O. Mitla—91181282A. Shypilov—1171110113
WAug 14 · 02:45O. Mitla—11911133A. Shypilov—8112111
WAug 12 · 21:15O. Mitla—11911153A. Shypilov—7119131
LAug 11 · 21:15O. Mitla—881161A. Shypilov—11118113
LAug 8 · 12:35O. Mitla—5950A. Shypilov—1111113
WAug 4 · 22:45O. Mitla—1121113A. Shypilov—81980
O. Mitla10
LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791LSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 05:05N. Kovalchuk1.3611411113O. Mitla3.00611451WSep 5 · 02:00M. Smyrnov1.919118101O. Mitla1.8011611123WSep 5 · 01:00O. Mitla1.80126611113V. Vlasenko1.91101111792WSep 5 · 24:00O. Mitla2.38111192113S. Kalenyk1.5387111182WSep 4 · 22:30O. Mitla2.38113117113S. Berezynskyi1.5361141152LSep 4 · 20:30O. Mitla1.9112106101O. Hura1.80101211123
A. Shypilov10
LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113LSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov2.006870S. Kalenyk1.731111113WSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla1.80711811102A. Shypilov1.91118117123LSep 1 · 23:45A. Shypilov2.10981161M. Smyrnov1.6711118113LSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura1.731311113A. Shypilov2.0011890WSep 1 · 21:15A. Shypilov2.7541111113R. Lazebnyi1.40118751LSep 1 · 24:15A. Shypilov2.505690R. Lazebnyi1.501111113
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