TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061641
Played Sep 2Finished
Orest Hura
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611811116811
Anton Shypilov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOrest Hura above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Orest Hura at 56.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Orest Hura 31–36 Anton Shypilov Orest Hura has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-36 in 67
Shypilov
Correct
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hura 1586 vs Shypilov 1515
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hura 100% vs Shypilov 20%
Hura
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hura 70% vs Shypilov 50%
Hura
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hura +5 · Shypilov -2
Hura
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hura) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHura 1.67 / Shypilov 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hura)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061641
Hura1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 85 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 79
Shypilov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 199 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back30% 66 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back14% 16 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHura5wins
AwayShypilov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHura62.5%5 of 8
AwayShypilovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hura8Shypilov2n = 10Hura took 8 of 10
S2Hura5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S3Hura6Shypilov4n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S4Hura4Shypilov3n = 7Hura took 4 of 7
S5Hura1Shypilov4n = 5Shypilov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuraShypilovH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.4+0.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuraShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 785 vs 354 / 77153.4%45.9%419 / 785 vs 354 / 771Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraHura 1.67/Shypilov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura—11681182A. Shypilov—611116113
WSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura—1311113A. Shypilov—11890
WAug 29 · 15:35O. Hura—1211113A. Shypilov—10790
LAug 28 · 22:30O. Hura—115771A. Shypilov—51111113
WAug 26 · 24:45O. Hura—1211113A. Shypilov—10560
LAug 21 · 20:30O. Hura—119119162A. Shypilov—911711183
WAug 18 · 21:15O. Hura—114148113A. Shypilov—711121182
WAug 16 · 09:35O. Hura—12117113A. Shypilov—1091181
LAug 12 · 22:15O. Hura—491111102A. Shypilov—111199123
LAug 11 · 22:15O. Hura—91241192A. Shypilov—1110118113
O. Hura10
LSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182LSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov2.006870S. Kalenyk1.731111113WSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla1.80711811102A. Shypilov1.91118117123LSep 1 · 23:45A. Shypilov2.10981161M. Smyrnov1.6711118113LSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura1.731311113A. Shypilov2.0011890WSep 1 · 21:15A. Shypilov2.7541111113R. Lazebnyi1.40118751LSep 1 · 24:15A. Shypilov2.505690R. Lazebnyi1.501111113
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