TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094002
Played Sep 8Finished
Ivan Romaniak
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911911––––
Orest Hura
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:06 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Romaniak above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 69.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Romaniak 2–2 Orest Hura Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Romaniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romaniak 1643 vs Hura 1637
Romaniak
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romaniak 20% vs Hura 60%
Hura
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romaniak 30% vs Hura 50%
Hura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romaniak -2 · Hura -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Romaniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomaniak 1.36 / Hura 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Romaniak)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094002
Romaniak1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 58 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Hura3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRomaniak2wins
AwayHura2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomaniak66.7%2 of 3
AwayHuran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romaniak3Hura1n = 4Romaniak took 3 of 4
S2Romaniak2Hura2n = 4split evenly
S3Romaniak3Hura1n = 4Romaniak took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricRomaniakHuraR − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.531.5+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomaniakHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 513 vs 416 / 78045%53.3%231 / 513 vs 416 / 780Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakRomaniak 1.36/Hura 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.6%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak—4990O. Hura—1111113
WFeb 10 · 17:05I. Romaniak—1111113O. Hura—6780
WFeb 6 · 21:30I. Romaniak—1111113O. Hura—8740
LFeb 4 · 12:05I. Romaniak—12712692O. Hura—10111011113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 8 · 04:25I. Romaniak1.83811121382N. Kovalchuk1.831171411113LSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581LSep 7 · 14:55I. Romaniak2.634380S. Rak1.441111113LSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113WSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113LSep 7 · 01:45I. Romaniak1.3015860M. Smyrnov3.401711113LSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov1.401411113I. Romaniak2.7512790LSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635370
O. Hura10
LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113WSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Smyrnov2.0011911113O. Hura1.73611691
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