TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084203
Played Sep 6Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117119––––
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Pesternikov to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Denys Pesternikov at 66.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 40–31 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 31 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pesternikov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-31 in 71
Pesternikov
Correct
gap of 9 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1885 vs Romaniak 1716
Pesternikov
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 80% vs Romaniak 40%
Pesternikov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 60% vs Romaniak 40%
Pesternikov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov -1 · Romaniak -3
Romaniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Pesternikov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 1.40 / Romaniak 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Pesternikov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084203
Pesternikov1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 224 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it95% 124 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it85% 179 of 210
Romaniak2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 124 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back27% 49 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePesternikov7wins
AwayRomaniak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPesternikov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesternikov85.7%6 of 7
AwayRomaniak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesternikov7Romaniak3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S2Pesternikov8Romaniak2n = 10Pesternikov took 8 of 10
S3Pesternikov7Romaniak3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S4Pesternikov2Romaniak1n = 3Pesternikov took 2 of 3
S5Pesternikov1Romaniak2n = 3Romaniak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPesternikovRomaniakP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.028.6+8.4per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1097 vs 228 / 50453.3%45.2%585 / 1097 vs 228 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovPesternikov 1.40/Romaniak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Pesternikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pesternikov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov—1411113I. Romaniak—12790
LSep 1 · 05:25D. Pesternikov—108100I. Romaniak—1211123
WAug 31 · 18:25D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—5580
WAug 27 · 21:30D. Pesternikov—961111113I. Romaniak—11119392
WAug 25 · 08:55D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—8430
WAug 24 · 15:25D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—4920
LAug 21 · 15:35D. Pesternikov—111151082I. Romaniak—531112113
LAug 20 · 22:30D. Pesternikov—91191132I. Romaniak—115117113
WAug 18 · 08:05D. Pesternikov—1211143I. Romaniak—102120
WAug 17 · 16:35D. Pesternikov—1211113I. Romaniak—10560
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 7 · 02:45D. Pesternikov1.10691111113M. Smyrnov6.5011119552WSep 7 · 24:45S. Rak2.502850D. Pesternikov1.501111113LSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342WSep 4 · 24:30S. Rak2.50615231D. Pesternikov1.50111311113WSep 3 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010450WSep 3 · 22:30I. Kozachuk2.10711581D. Pesternikov1.6711611113WSep 3 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.201111113R. Haiseniuk4.339720LSep 1 · 08:55D. Pesternikov1.57118941I. Kozachuk2.2521111113
I. Romaniak10
WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113LSep 7 · 01:45I. Romaniak1.3015860M. Smyrnov3.401711113LSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635370LSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181LSep 1 · 08:25D. Shcherbak1.67911185113I. Romaniak2.10118161172WSep 1 · 06:55S. Rak1.507880I. Romaniak2.501111113WSep 1 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.44108100I. Romaniak2.631211123WSep 1 · 04:25I. Kozachuk1.6791181232I. Romaniak2.101181110113LAug 31 · 18:25D. Pesternikov1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635580LAug 31 · 17:25D. Shcherbak1.731111113I. Romaniak2.007870
Upcoming Matches
D. Pesternikov
I. Romaniak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.