TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067433
Played Sep 3Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117112––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Pesternikov to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 51 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Denys Pesternikov at 82.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 19–5 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Pesternikov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-5 in 24
Pesternikov
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1850 vs Haiseniuk 1616
Pesternikov
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 20% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 40% vs Haiseniuk 60%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov -4 · Haiseniuk +1
Pesternikov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Pesternikov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 1.20 / Haiseniuk 4.33
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Pesternikov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067433
Pesternikov1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 222 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 175 of 208
Haiseniuk4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePesternikov9wins
AwayHaiseniuk1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPesternikov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesternikov100%6 of 6
AwayHaiseniuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesternikov6Haiseniuk4n = 10Pesternikov took 6 of 10
S2Pesternikov9Haiseniuk1n = 10Pesternikov took 9 of 10
S3Pesternikov9Haiseniuk1n = 10Pesternikov took 9 of 10
S4Pesternikov2Haiseniuk1n = 3Pesternikov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPesternikovHaiseniukP − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.828.6+7.2per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime588 / 1105 vs 413 / 73753.2%56%588 / 1105 vs 413 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovPesternikov 1.20/Haiseniuk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.7%
Pesternikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pesternikov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 21:00D. Pesternikov—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9720
WAug 27 · 20:00D. Pesternikov—1111113R. Haiseniuk—8570
WAug 22 · 10:35D. Pesternikov—1111123R. Haiseniuk—95100
WAug 21 · 14:35D. Pesternikov—61211113R. Haiseniuk—1110771
WAug 21 · 01:00D. Pesternikov—713117113R. Haiseniuk—111191192
WAug 14 · 01:30D. Pesternikov—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9660
WAug 6 · 21:00D. Pesternikov—71111113R. Haiseniuk—117851
WJul 31 · 13:35D. Pesternikov—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9950
WJul 30 · 23:30D. Pesternikov—1211123R. Haiseniuk—108100
LJul 17 · 15:35D. Pesternikov—810100R. Haiseniuk—1112123
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 7 · 02:45D. Pesternikov1.10691111113M. Smyrnov6.5011119552WSep 7 · 24:45S. Rak2.502850D. Pesternikov1.501111113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov1.401411113I. Romaniak2.7512790LSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342WSep 4 · 24:30S. Rak2.50615231D. Pesternikov1.50111311113WSep 3 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010450WSep 3 · 22:30I. Kozachuk2.10711581D. Pesternikov1.6711611113LSep 1 · 08:55D. Pesternikov1.57118941I. Kozachuk2.2521111113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.