TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078906
Played Sep 5Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611311––––
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 65.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 5–11 Denys Shcherbak Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1551 vs Shcherbak 1773
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 221 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 60% vs Shcherbak 20%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Shcherbak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk -2 · Shcherbak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Shcherbak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 2.63 / Shcherbak 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Shcherbak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078906
Haiseniuk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 43 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Shcherbak1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 158 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it93% 91 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk2wins
AwayShcherbak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayShcherbak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S2Haiseniuk4Shcherbak6n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S3Haiseniuk2Shcherbak8n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S4Haiseniuk1Shcherbak5n = 6Shcherbak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukShcherbakH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.638.4−6.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 739 vs 322 / 62055.6%51.9%411 / 739 vs 322 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakHaiseniuk 2.63/Shcherbak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk—6630D. Shcherbak—1111113
LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—102120D. Shcherbak—1211143
LAug 28 · 17:05R. Haiseniuk—1110391D. Shcherbak—31211113
LAug 22 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk—7860D. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 21 · 16:05R. Haiseniuk—11411692D. Shcherbak—811811113
WAug 20 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—111189113D. Shcherbak—47111172
LAug 14 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—6840D. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 7 · 12:05R. Haiseniuk—1012971D. Shcherbak—121011113
LAug 6 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—1311861D. Shcherbak—15611113
WJul 31 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk—41211113D. Shcherbak—1110951
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113WSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660LSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113WSep 5 · 10:05D. Shcherbak1.67117127113N. Kovalchuk2.10911101182WSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891WSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143
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