TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074008
Played Sep 4Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111171210––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 5–3 Ruslan Lazebnyi Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Haiseniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Haiseniuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1599 vs Lazebnyi 1586
Haiseniuk
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Lazebnyi 80%
Lazebnyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 30% vs Lazebnyi 50%
Lazebnyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk +1 · Lazebnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 1.73 / Lazebnyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13074008
Haiseniuk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite61% won 138 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Lazebnyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 15 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk5wins
AwayLazebnyi3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayLazebnyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk3Lazebnyi5n = 8Lazebnyi took 5 of 8
S2Haiseniuk6Lazebnyi2n = 8Haiseniuk took 6 of 8
S3Haiseniuk3Lazebnyi5n = 8Lazebnyi took 5 of 8
S4Haiseniuk2Lazebnyi4n = 6Lazebnyi took 4 of 6
S5Haiseniuk3Lazebnyi1n = 4Haiseniuk took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricHaiseniukLazebnyiH − LBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.439.8+0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 742 vs 49 / 9655.9%51%415 / 742 vs 49 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukHaiseniuk 1.73/Lazebnyi 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 3 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—9670R. Lazebnyi—1111113
WAug 29 · 11:35R. Haiseniuk—811116113R. Lazebnyi—11851172
WAug 28 · 16:05R. Haiseniuk—1111158113R. Lazebnyi—133131172
WAug 22 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk—11116113R. Lazebnyi—631191
WAug 21 · 17:05R. Haiseniuk—912113113R. Lazebnyi—111071192
LAug 21 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—86110R. Lazebnyi—1111133
WAug 15 · 08:05R. Haiseniuk—14116113R. Lazebnyi—1271181
LAug 14 · 17:35R. Haiseniuk—121181052R. Lazebnyi—104111293
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192LSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 17:35O. Napirko2.38611471R. Lazebnyi1.5311311113WSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.611110751R. Lazebnyi2.2091211113LSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342WSep 4 · 01:30D. Shcherbak1.3012790R. Lazebnyi3.401411113
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