TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073769
Played Sep 4Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115311119611711
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:30 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 63.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 10–23 Ruslan Haiseniuk Yaroslav Kravets has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Haiseniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Haiseniuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1570 vs Haiseniuk 1589
Haiseniuk
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 60% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Kravets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 40% vs Haiseniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets +2 · Haiseniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.50 / Haiseniuk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073769
Kravets2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Haiseniuk1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 138 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKravets3wins
AwayHaiseniuk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravets25%1 of 4
AwayHaiseniuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets4Haiseniuk6n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S2Kravets3Haiseniuk7n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S3Kravets4Haiseniuk6n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S4Kravets2Haiseniuk5n = 7Haiseniuk took 5 of 7
S5Kravets3Haiseniuk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKravetsHaiseniukK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.7−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 471 vs 414 / 74149.7%55.9%234 / 471 vs 414 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukKravets 2.50/Haiseniuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets—81140R. Haiseniuk—1113113
LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Kravets—9650R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 19:05Y. Kravets—111111372R. Haiseniuk—135611113
WAug 7 · 16:35Y. Kravets—1311112113R. Haiseniuk—157111082
LAug 1 · 10:05Y. Kravets—9450R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LJul 31 · 19:05Y. Kravets—11911762R. Haiseniuk—611811113
LJul 18 · 05:05Y. Kravets—111110552R. Haiseniuk—691211113
LJul 17 · 19:05Y. Kravets—118781R. Haiseniuk—21111113
WJul 11 · 09:35Y. Kravets—1110122113R. Haiseniuk—812101172
WJul 10 · 13:05Y. Kravets—991212113R. Haiseniuk—1111101082
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113LAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.801111113Y. Kravets1.919790
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143WAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113
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