TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078904
Played Sep 5Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111012119711––
Ivan Kozachuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Ivan Kozachuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 70.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 8–15 Ivan Kozachuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1558 vs Kozachuk 1744
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 20% vs Kozachuk 60%
Kozachuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Kozachuk 60%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk -1 · Kozachuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozachuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 2.75 / Kozachuk 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kozachuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078904
Haiseniuk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 43 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Kozachuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk4wins
AwayKozachuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk60%3 of 5
AwayKozachuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk5Kozachuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Haiseniuk2Kozachuk8n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S3Haiseniuk5Kozachuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Haiseniuk4Kozachuk5n = 9Kozachuk took 5 of 9
S5Haiseniuk2Kozachuk1n = 3Haiseniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukKozachukH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.6−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukKozachukBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 749 vs 548 / 110455.8%49.6%418 / 749 vs 548 / 1104Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukHaiseniuk 2.75/Kozachuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 20:30R. Haiseniuk—1167131I. Kozachuk—91111153
LAug 7 · 18:05R. Haiseniuk—78111192I. Kozachuk—111177113
LAug 7 · 01:00R. Haiseniuk—1181181I. Kozachuk—13116113
LAug 1 · 05:05R. Haiseniuk—491141I. Kozachuk—11113113
WJul 31 · 12:35R. Haiseniuk—11116113I. Kozachuk—981151
LJul 30 · 20:30R. Haiseniuk—118781I. Kozachuk—91111113
WJul 28 · 08:35R. Haiseniuk—811119123I. Kozachuk—113711102
LJul 18 · 11:35R. Haiseniuk—9460I. Kozachuk—1111113
WJul 6 · 12:55R. Haiseniuk—118611113I. Kozachuk—61111152
WJul 6 · 01:00R. Haiseniuk—11911113I. Kozachuk—711591
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172WSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181WSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7349111172N. Kovalchuk2.00111183113WSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891WSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
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