TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067457
Played Sep 4Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10122111214––––
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 61 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 64.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 5–9 Denys Shcherbak Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1589 vs Shcherbak 1723
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Shcherbak 0%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Shcherbak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk -1 · Shcherbak -5
Shcherbak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 2.38 / Shcherbak 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Shcherbak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067457
Haiseniuk2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Shcherbak1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 152 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it93% 86 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it76% 118 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk4wins
AwayShcherbak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk60%3 of 5
AwayShcherbak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S2Haiseniuk4Shcherbak6n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S3Haiseniuk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S4Haiseniuk3Shcherbak5n = 8Shcherbak took 5 of 8
S5Haiseniuk2Shcherbak1n = 3Haiseniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukShcherbakH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.3−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 741 vs 315 / 61055.9%51.6%414 / 741 vs 315 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakHaiseniuk 2.38/Shcherbak 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 17:05R. Haiseniuk—1110391D. Shcherbak—31211113
LAug 22 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk—7860D. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 21 · 16:05R. Haiseniuk—11411692D. Shcherbak—811811113
WAug 20 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—111189113D. Shcherbak—47111172
LAug 14 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—6840D. Shcherbak—1111113
LAug 7 · 12:05R. Haiseniuk—1012971D. Shcherbak—121011113
LAug 6 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—1311861D. Shcherbak—15611113
WJul 31 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk—41211113D. Shcherbak—1110951
WJul 17 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk—111711113D. Shcherbak—819861
WJul 10 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk—1411511113D. Shcherbak—121311842
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113WSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660LSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113WSep 5 · 10:05D. Shcherbak1.67117127113N. Kovalchuk2.10911101182WSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113WSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891
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