TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074041
Played Sep 4Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111416118611––
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 85 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 58.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 78–56 Oleh Napirko Oleh Napirko has won 56 of their 134 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Napirko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-56 in 134
Haiseniuk
Wrong
gap of 22 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1569 vs Napirko 1560
Haiseniuk
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 60% vs Napirko 20%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 50% vs Napirko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk +3 · Napirko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Napirko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 1.83 / Napirko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13074041
Haiseniuk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Napirko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk7wins
AwayNapirko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk100%6 of 6
AwayNapirko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk6Napirko4n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S2Haiseniuk6Napirko4n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S3Haiseniuk7Napirko3n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S4Haiseniuk3Napirko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukNapirkoH − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.234.3+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 747 vs 442 / 87255.8%50.7%417 / 747 vs 442 / 872Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukHaiseniuk 1.83/Napirko 1.83
Miss
What we said
54%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Napirko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk—8141161O. Napirko—11168113
LAug 29 · 08:05R. Haiseniuk—13590O. Napirko—1511113
WAug 28 · 14:35R. Haiseniuk—1511113O. Napirko—13690
WAug 15 · 11:35R. Haiseniuk—1111710113O. Napirko—75111252
WAug 14 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk—11411113O. Napirko—711381
LJul 22 · 23:45R. Haiseniuk—512921O. Napirko—111011113
WJun 9 · 20:15R. Haiseniuk—111311113O. Napirko—1311681
WJun 7 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk—1211113O. Napirko—10860
WJun 6 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk—12611123O. Napirko—10116101
WJun 5 · 23:00R. Haiseniuk—1111113O. Napirko—6870
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
O. Napirko10
WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113LSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771WSep 5 · 06:35O. Napirko2.506111111113N. Kovalchuk1.5011813682LSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192
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