TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078883
Played Sep 5Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111317151012117511
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 112 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.9%
112 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 6–3 Ruslan Lazebnyi Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Haiseniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Haiseniuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1569 vs Lazebnyi 1557
Haiseniuk
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Lazebnyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 50% vs Lazebnyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk +1 · Lazebnyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Haiseniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 1.67 / Lazebnyi 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13078883
Haiseniuk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 139 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 97 of 117
Lazebnyi2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 16 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back30% 7 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk6wins
AwayLazebnyi3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk75%3 of 4
AwayLazebnyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk4Lazebnyi5n = 9Lazebnyi took 5 of 9
S2Haiseniuk6Lazebnyi3n = 9Haiseniuk took 6 of 9
S3Haiseniuk4Lazebnyi5n = 9Lazebnyi took 5 of 9
S4Haiseniuk3Lazebnyi4n = 7Lazebnyi took 4 of 7
S5Haiseniuk3Lazebnyi1n = 4Haiseniuk took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHaiseniukLazebnyiH − LBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.639.3+1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 748 vs 51 / 10255.9%50%418 / 748 vs 51 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukHaiseniuk 1.67/Lazebnyi 2.10
Miss
What we said
57%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk—11811123R. Lazebnyi—8117101
LSep 3 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk—9670R. Lazebnyi—1111113
WAug 29 · 11:35R. Haiseniuk—811116113R. Lazebnyi—11851172
WAug 28 · 16:05R. Haiseniuk—1111158113R. Lazebnyi—133131172
WAug 22 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk—11116113R. Lazebnyi—631191
WAug 21 · 17:05R. Haiseniuk—912113113R. Lazebnyi—111071192
LAug 21 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—86110R. Lazebnyi—1111133
WAug 15 · 08:05R. Haiseniuk—14116113R. Lazebnyi—1271181
LAug 14 · 17:35R. Haiseniuk—121181052R. Lazebnyi—104111293
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143LSep 4 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.441111113R. Haiseniuk2.636770
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192LSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 17:35O. Napirko2.38611471R. Lazebnyi1.5311311113LSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.611110751R. Lazebnyi2.2091211113LSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342WSep 4 · 01:30D. Shcherbak1.3012790R. Lazebnyi3.401411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.