TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074007
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleh Napirko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611113411711––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Napirko above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 64 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 61.2%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Napirko 3–4 Ruslan Lazebnyi Oleh Napirko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Napirko 1519 vs Lazebnyi 1575
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Napirko 40% vs Lazebnyi 60%
Lazebnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Napirko 50% vs Lazebnyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Napirko -2 · Lazebnyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNapirko 2.38 / Lazebnyi 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13074007
Napirko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 51 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Lazebnyi1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 33 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNapirko3wins
AwayLazebnyi4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLazebnyi leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNapirko50%2 of 4
AwayLazebnyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Napirko4Lazebnyi3n = 7Napirko took 4 of 7
S2Napirko3Lazebnyi4n = 7Lazebnyi took 4 of 7
S3Napirko3Lazebnyi4n = 7Lazebnyi took 4 of 7
S4Napirko3Lazebnyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Napirko1Lazebnyi2n = 3Lazebnyi took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricNapirkoLazebnyiN − LBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.139.1−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNapirkoLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 868 vs 49 / 9750.7%50.5%440 / 868 vs 49 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiNapirko 2.38/Lazebnyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 28 · 18:35O. Napirko—5121110113R. Lazebnyi—111061252
WAug 24 · 21:45O. Napirko—11711123R. Lazebnyi—9115101
LAug 17 · 20:15O. Napirko—8820R. Lazebnyi—1111113
LAug 15 · 05:35O. Napirko—11117562R. Lazebnyi—881111113
LAug 14 · 18:35O. Napirko—128451R. Lazebnyi—101111113
WAug 8 · 08:05O. Napirko—11811113R. Lazebnyi—311561
LAug 2 · 06:35O. Napirko—51171182R. Lazebnyi—119113113
O. Napirko10
WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113LSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771WSep 5 · 06:35O. Napirko2.506111111113N. Kovalchuk1.5011813682LSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192LSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661LSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.611110751R. Lazebnyi2.2091211113LSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342WSep 4 · 01:30D. Shcherbak1.3012790R. Lazebnyi3.401411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.