TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073983
Played Sep 4Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11791111686––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-6
Point 69 set 4, 8-6 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 2–2 Ruslan Lazebnyi Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:04What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lazebnyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1576 vs Lazebnyi 1585
Lazebnyi
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 60% vs Lazebnyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 50% vs Lazebnyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets +2 · Lazebnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.00 / Lazebnyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13073983
Kravets2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Lazebnyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 33 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKravets2wins
AwayLazebnyi2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravetsn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLazebnyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets1Lazebnyi3n = 4Lazebnyi took 3 of 4
S2Kravets2Lazebnyi2n = 4split evenly
S3Kravets2Lazebnyi2n = 4split evenly
S4Kravets1Lazebnyi2n = 3Lazebnyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKravetsLazebnyiK − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.536.2−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 475 vs 50 / 9849.7%51%236 / 475 vs 50 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiKravets 2.00/Lazebnyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kravets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets—6111211113R. Lazebnyi—116101372
LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Kravets—1011061R. Lazebnyi—12311113
WAug 14 · 14:05Y. Kravets—111011113R. Lazebnyi—612731
LAug 8 · 06:05Y. Kravets—2920R. Lazebnyi—1111113
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113LAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.801111113Y. Kravets1.919790
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192WSep 4 · 17:35O. Napirko2.38611471R. Lazebnyi1.5311311113LSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.611110751R. Lazebnyi2.2091211113LSep 4 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.221291111113R. Lazebnyi4.00101141342LAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372
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