TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037615
Played Aug 29Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210211911211––
Nazar Kovalchuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeNazar Kovalchuk to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Nazar Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Nazar Kovalchuk at 72.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 0–5 Nazar Kovalchuk Yaroslav Kravets has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kovalchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Kovalchuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1558 vs Kovalchuk 1635
Kovalchuk
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 40% vs Kovalchuk 60%
Kovalchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 30% vs Kovalchuk 50%
Kovalchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets +1 · Kovalchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 3.25 / Kovalchuk 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037615
Kravets3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Kovalchuk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it73% 115 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKravets0wins
AwayKovalchuk5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravetsn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKovalchuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets1Kovalchuk4n = 5Kovalchuk took 4 of 5
S2Kravets2Kovalchuk3n = 5Kovalchuk took 3 of 5
S3Kravets0Kovalchuk5n = 5Kovalchuk took 5 of 5
S4Kravets1Kovalchuk2n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKravetsKovalchukKravets − KovalchukBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match28.838.8−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 473 vs 351 / 68949.5%50.9%234 / 473 vs 351 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukKravets 3.25/Kovalchuk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.9%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 14 · 17:05Y. Kravets—9750N. Kovalchuk—1111113
LAug 8 · 07:35Y. Kravets—11471182N. Kovalchuk—711114113
LJun 13 · 10:35Y. Kravets—104110N. Kovalchuk—1211133
LMay 16 · 06:05Y. Kravets—911391N. Kovalchuk—11911113
LMar 13 · 16:35Y. Kravets—711161N. Kovalchuk—11611113
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113LAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.801111113Y. Kravets1.919790
N. Kovalchuk10
WSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:35N. Kovalchuk1.617121191S. Kalenyk2.2011149113LSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:05N. Kovalchuk1.3611411113O. Mitla3.00611451WSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133LSep 5 · 10:05D. Shcherbak1.67117127113N. Kovalchuk2.10911101182WSep 5 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7349111172N. Kovalchuk2.00111183113LSep 5 · 06:35O. Napirko2.506111111113N. Kovalchuk1.5011813682LSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123
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