TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073913
Played Sep 4Finished
Nikita Hoshko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171171311––––
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeNikita Hoshko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Hoshko above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Nikita Hoshko at 65.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Hoshko 3–0 Yaroslav Kravets Yaroslav Kravets has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hoshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Hoshko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hoshko 1620 vs Kravets 1560
Hoshko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hoshko 20% vs Kravets 60%
Kravets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hoshko 20% vs Kravets 40%
Kravets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hoshko -3 · Kravets -1
Hoshko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hoshko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoshko 1.50 / Kravets 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hoshko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073913
Hoshko1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 17 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Kravets2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHoshko3wins
AwayKravets0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHoshko leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hoshko2Kravets1n = 3Hoshko took 2 of 3
S2Hoshko3Kravets0n = 3Hoshko took 3 of 3
S3Hoshko2Kravets1n = 3Hoshko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHoshkoKravetsH − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.337.0+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoshkoKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 58 vs 234 / 47246.6%49.6%27 / 58 vs 234 / 472Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoshkoHoshko 1.50/Kravets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Hoshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hoshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 24 · 14:35N. Hoshko—1211113Y. Kravets—10930
WJul 10 · 16:35N. Hoshko—111139113Y. Kravets—78111172
WJun 20 · 08:05N. Hoshko—811126113Y. Kravets—119101142
N. Hoshko10
LSep 4 · 12:35N. Hoshko1.7311128782O. Napirko2.008101111113LAug 31 · 16:25N. Hoshko2.38741151D. Pesternikov1.5311118113LAug 31 · 14:55N. Hoshko2.2010850S. Rak1.611211113WAug 31 · 13:25N. Hoshko2.2011311113D. Shcherbak1.61811551LAug 31 · 11:55N. Hoshko2.104450I. Romaniak1.671111113LAug 28 · 03:00N. Hoshko1.839950I. Romaniak1.831111113LAug 28 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.911111113N. Hoshko1.808890LAug 27 · 23:00D. Pesternikov1.731111113N. Hoshko2.008840WAug 27 · 22:00N. Hoshko1.6781111113R. Haiseniuk2.10114591LAug 27 · 21:00V. Plishylo2.381211113N. Hoshko1.5310990
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113LAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.801111113Y. Kravets1.919790
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