TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023227
Played Aug 27Finished
Nikita Hoshko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114115119––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeNikita Hoshko to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Hoshko above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Nikita Hoshko at 62.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Hoshko 1–0 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hoshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hoshko 1666 vs Haiseniuk 1588
Hoshko
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hoshko 40% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Hoshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hoshko 40% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Hoshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hoshko -1 · Haiseniuk -3
Haiseniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hoshko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoshko 1.67 / Haiseniuk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hoshko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023227
Hoshko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 16 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Haiseniuk2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHoshko1wins
AwayHaiseniuk0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHoshko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHoshkoHaiseniukHoshko − HaiseniukBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.043.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoshkoHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 49 vs 417 / 73751%56.6%25 / 49 vs 417 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoshkoHoshko 1.67/Haiseniuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hoshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hoshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 10 · 15:05N. Hoshko—611811113R. Haiseniuk—11611872
N. Hoshko10
WSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 12:35N. Hoshko1.7311128782O. Napirko2.008101111113LAug 31 · 16:25N. Hoshko2.38741151D. Pesternikov1.5311118113LAug 31 · 14:55N. Hoshko2.2010850S. Rak1.611211113WAug 31 · 13:25N. Hoshko2.2011311113D. Shcherbak1.61811551LAug 31 · 11:55N. Hoshko2.104450I. Romaniak1.671111113LAug 28 · 03:00N. Hoshko1.839950I. Romaniak1.831111113LAug 28 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.911111113N. Hoshko1.808890LAug 27 · 23:00D. Pesternikov1.731111113N. Hoshko2.008840LAug 27 · 21:00V. Plishylo2.381211113N. Hoshko1.5310990
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143
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