TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073874
Played Sep 4Finished
Nikita Hoshko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181210811711811
Oleh Napirko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeNikita Hoshko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNikita Hoshko above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Nikita Hoshko at 54.3%
97 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hoshko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hoshko 1635 vs Napirko 1528
Hoshko
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hoshko 20% vs Napirko 40%
Napirko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hoshko 30% vs Napirko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hoshko -2 · Napirko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hoshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hoshko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoshko 1.73 / Napirko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hoshko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073874
Hoshko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite46% won 17 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Napirko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 51 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoshkoNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 57 vs 439 / 86547.4%50.8%27 / 57 vs 439 / 865Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoshkoHoshko 1.73/Napirko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hoshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Napirko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Hoshko10
WSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LAug 31 · 16:25N. Hoshko2.38741151D. Pesternikov1.5311118113LAug 31 · 14:55N. Hoshko2.2010850S. Rak1.611211113WAug 31 · 13:25N. Hoshko2.2011311113D. Shcherbak1.61811551LAug 31 · 11:55N. Hoshko2.104450I. Romaniak1.671111113LAug 28 · 03:00N. Hoshko1.839950I. Romaniak1.831111113LAug 28 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.911111113N. Hoshko1.808890LAug 27 · 23:00D. Pesternikov1.731111113N. Hoshko2.008840WAug 27 · 22:00N. Hoshko1.6781111113R. Haiseniuk2.10114591LAug 27 · 21:00V. Plishylo2.381211113N. Hoshko1.5310990
O. Napirko10
WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113LSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771WSep 5 · 06:35O. Napirko2.506111111113N. Kovalchuk1.5011813682LSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192
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