TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022719
Played Aug 28Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Nikita Hoshko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Nikita Hoshko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 5–1 Nikita Hoshko Nikita Hoshko has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hoshko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1731 vs Hoshko 1670
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 40% vs Hoshko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 60% vs Hoshko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +1 · Hoshko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hoshko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.91 / Hoshko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kozachuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13022719
Kozachuk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 103 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 81
Hoshko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 16 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKozachuk5wins
AwayHoshko1wins
5 of 6 to a deciderKozachuk leads 5–1, and 5 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHoshko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk1Hoshko5n = 6Hoshko took 5 of 6
S2Kozachuk2Hoshko4n = 6Hoshko took 4 of 6
S3Kozachuk5Hoshko1n = 6Kozachuk took 5 of 6
S4Kozachuk5Hoshko1n = 6Kozachuk took 5 of 6
S5Kozachuk4Hoshko1n = 5Kozachuk took 4 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home467%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKozachukHoshkoK − HBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match48.343.8+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukHoshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1107 vs 26 / 5149.3%51%546 / 1107 vs 26 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.91/Hoshko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 25 · 08:25I. Kozachuk—1171112113N. Hoshko—511131042
WAug 24 · 15:55I. Kozachuk—101114113N. Hoshko—1271271
WAug 18 · 08:35I. Kozachuk—9101111113N. Hoshko—11124872
LAug 17 · 12:35I. Kozachuk—71111672N. Hoshko—118811113
WJul 27 · 24:00I. Kozachuk—8101111113N. Hoshko—11125982
WJun 19 · 15:03I. Kozachuk—861111113N. Hoshko—11117892
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172WSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181WSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113WSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7349111172N. Kovalchuk2.00111183113WSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891
N. Hoshko10
WSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 12:35N. Hoshko1.7311128782O. Napirko2.008101111113LAug 31 · 16:25N. Hoshko2.38741151D. Pesternikov1.5311118113LAug 31 · 14:55N. Hoshko2.2010850S. Rak1.611211113WAug 31 · 13:25N. Hoshko2.2011311113D. Shcherbak1.61811551LAug 31 · 11:55N. Hoshko2.104450I. Romaniak1.671111113LAug 28 · 03:00N. Hoshko1.839950I. Romaniak1.831111113LAug 27 · 23:00D. Pesternikov1.731111113N. Hoshko2.008840WAug 27 · 22:00N. Hoshko1.6781111113R. Haiseniuk2.10114591LAug 27 · 21:00V. Plishylo2.381211113N. Hoshko1.5310990
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.