TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022771
Played Aug 27Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119119––––
Nikita Hoshko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeNikita Hoshko to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Nikita Hoshko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Nikita Hoshko at 63.6%
62 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 2–2 Nikita Hoshko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hoshko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1574 vs Hoshko 1666
Hoshko
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 20% vs Hoshko 60%
Hoshko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 20% vs Hoshko 40%
Hoshko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo +1 · Hoshko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hoshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plishylo form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 2.38 / Hoshko 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Hoshko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13022771
Plishylo2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 95 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back24% 33 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Hoshko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 16 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePlishylo2wins
AwayHoshko2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo2Hoshko2n = 4split evenly
S2Plishylo2Hoshko2n = 4split evenly
S3Plishylo1Hoshko3n = 4Hoshko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricPlishyloHoshkoP − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.531.8−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloHoshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 658 vs 25 / 4944.4%51%292 / 658 vs 25 / 49Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoshkoPlishylo 2.38/Hoshko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Hoshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 27 · 21:00V. Plishylo—1211113N. Hoshko—10990
WJul 24 · 12:35V. Plishylo—11116113N. Hoshko—851161
LJun 20 · 06:05V. Plishylo—10960N. Hoshko—1211113
LJun 19 · 14:03V. Plishylo—49110N. Hoshko—1111133
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113
N. Hoshko10
WSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 12:35N. Hoshko1.7311128782O. Napirko2.008101111113LAug 31 · 16:25N. Hoshko2.38741151D. Pesternikov1.5311118113LAug 31 · 14:55N. Hoshko2.2010850S. Rak1.611211113WAug 31 · 13:25N. Hoshko2.2011311113D. Shcherbak1.61811551LAug 31 · 11:55N. Hoshko2.104450I. Romaniak1.671111113LAug 28 · 03:00N. Hoshko1.839950I. Romaniak1.831111113LAug 28 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.911111113N. Hoshko1.808890LAug 27 · 23:00D. Pesternikov1.731111113N. Hoshko2.008840WAug 27 · 22:00N. Hoshko1.6781111113R. Haiseniuk2.10114591
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.