TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037832
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117118––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 25–25 Ruslan Haiseniuk Dead even across their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Haiseniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-25 in 50
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1562 vs Haiseniuk 1636
Haiseniuk
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 40% vs Haiseniuk 80%
Haiseniuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 40% vs Haiseniuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo +1 · Haiseniuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.91 / Haiseniuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037832
Plishylo1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back24% 34 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Haiseniuk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 139 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo3wins
AwayHaiseniuk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHaiseniuk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo2Haiseniuk8n = 10Haiseniuk took 8 of 10
S2Plishylo5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Plishylo5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Plishylo4Haiseniuk3n = 7Plishylo took 4 of 7
S5Plishylo2Haiseniuk4n = 6Haiseniuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.7−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 668 vs 422 / 74744.3%56.5%296 / 668 vs 422 / 747Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukPlishylo 1.91/Haiseniuk 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo—412611113R. Haiseniuk—111011372
LAug 15 · 06:05V. Plishylo—71211862R. Haiseniuk—1110611113
LAug 14 · 13:35V. Plishylo—7960R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LAug 13 · 23:30V. Plishylo—10880R. Haiseniuk—1211113
WAug 1 · 06:05V. Plishylo—511129113R. Haiseniuk—115101192
LJul 31 · 17:35V. Plishylo—131171192R. Haiseniuk—156118113
LJul 31 · 03:00V. Plishylo—11891152R. Haiseniuk—611115113
LJul 18 · 06:05V. Plishylo—771291R. Haiseniuk—111110113
LJul 17 · 17:35V. Plishylo—781111102R. Haiseniuk—111176123
WJul 17 · 03:00V. Plishylo—1115113R. Haiseniuk—31320
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo2.00412611113R. Haiseniuk1.73111011372
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo2.00412611113R. Haiseniuk1.73111011372
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