TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13029278
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111210611113117
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 86 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 24–25 Ruslan Haiseniuk Volodymyr Plishylo has won 24 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Haiseniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-25 in 49
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1576 vs Haiseniuk 1561
Plishylo
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 60% vs Haiseniuk 0%
Plishylo
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 30% vs Haiseniuk 10%
Plishylo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -2 · Haiseniuk -5
Haiseniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 2.00 / Haiseniuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13029278
Plishylo2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 95 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back24% 33 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Haiseniuk1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 144 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo3wins
AwayHaiseniuk7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo66.7%2 of 3
AwayHaiseniuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo3Haiseniuk7n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S2Plishylo5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Plishylo6Haiseniuk4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S4Plishylo3Haiseniuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Plishylo1Haiseniuk4n = 5Haiseniuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.737.9+0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 661 vs 417 / 74044.3%56.4%293 / 661 vs 417 / 740Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukPlishylo 2.00/Haiseniuk 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 06:05V. Plishylo—71211862R. Haiseniuk—1110611113
LAug 14 · 13:35V. Plishylo—7960R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LAug 13 · 23:30V. Plishylo—10880R. Haiseniuk—1211113
WAug 1 · 06:05V. Plishylo—511129113R. Haiseniuk—115101192
LJul 31 · 17:35V. Plishylo—131171192R. Haiseniuk—156118113
LJul 31 · 03:00V. Plishylo—11891152R. Haiseniuk—611115113
LJul 18 · 06:05V. Plishylo—771291R. Haiseniuk—111110113
LJul 17 · 17:35V. Plishylo—781111102R. Haiseniuk—111176123
WJul 17 · 03:00V. Plishylo—1115113R. Haiseniuk—31320
WApr 17 · 23:00V. Plishylo—1111113R. Haiseniuk—6620
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101LAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113
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