TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037625
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111210101217151012
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Plishylo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 17-15
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 118 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Volodymyr Plishylo at 54.0%
118 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 31–33 Yaroslav Kravets Volodymyr Plishylo has won 31 of their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plishylo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-33 in 64
Kravets
Correct
gap of 2 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1550 vs Kravets 1570
Kravets
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 60% vs Kravets 40%
Plishylo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Kravets 30%
Plishylo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -1 · Kravets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plishylo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.80 / Kravets 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plishylo)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037625
Plishylo1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite43% won 25 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Kravets1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo5wins
AwayKravets5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo60%3 of 5
AwayKravets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo5Kravets5n = 10split evenly
S2Plishylo7Kravets3n = 10Plishylo took 7 of 10
S3Plishylo6Kravets4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S4Plishylo3Kravets3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloKravetsP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.5+1.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 670 vs 236 / 47644.2%49.6%296 / 670 vs 236 / 476Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlishyloPlishylo 1.80/Kravets 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plishylo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kravets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo—1111113Y. Kravets—9790
LAug 14 · 15:05V. Plishylo—7990Y. Kravets—1111113
WAug 8 · 10:35V. Plishylo—1111133Y. Kravets—96110
LAug 1 · 04:35V. Plishylo—913311102Y. Kravets—1111117123
WJul 31 · 14:05V. Plishylo—1115113Y. Kravets—91390
LJul 25 · 10:35V. Plishylo—10138121Y. Kravets—121111143
LJul 24 · 15:35V. Plishylo—1181581Y. Kravets—41117113
WJul 18 · 10:35V. Plishylo—91211113Y. Kravets—1110561
WJul 17 · 14:05V. Plishylo—61311143Y. Kravets—11114121
LJul 3 · 14:35V. Plishylo—11711792Y. Kravets—811611113
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo2.00412611113R. Haiseniuk1.73111011372
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113LAug 15 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.801111113Y. Kravets1.919790
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