TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435502
Played Aug 15Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Plishylo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Plishylo at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 30–33 Yaroslav Kravets Volodymyr Plishylo has won 30 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:05What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plishylo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-33 in 63
Kravets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1540 vs Kravets 1574
Kravets
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 0% vs Kravets 20%
Kravets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 10% vs Kravets 40%
Kravets
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -5 · Kravets +1
Plishylo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kravets) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.80 / Kravets 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kravets)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #12435502
Plishylo1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite45% won 25 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Kravets1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo4wins
AwayKravets6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKravets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo50%2 of 4
AwayKravets66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo4Kravets6n = 10Kravets took 6 of 10
S2Plishylo6Kravets4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S3Plishylo6Kravets4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S4Plishylo3Kravets4n = 7Kravets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloKravetsP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.2+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 671 vs 233 / 47544.1%49.1%296 / 671 vs 233 / 475Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KravetsPlishylo 1.80/Kravets 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kravets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 15:05V. Plishylo—7990Y. Kravets—1111113
WAug 8 · 10:35V. Plishylo—1111133Y. Kravets—96110
LAug 1 · 04:35V. Plishylo—913311102Y. Kravets—1111117123
WJul 31 · 14:05V. Plishylo—1115113Y. Kravets—91390
LJul 25 · 10:35V. Plishylo—10138121Y. Kravets—121111143
LJul 24 · 15:35V. Plishylo—1181581Y. Kravets—41117113
WJul 18 · 10:35V. Plishylo—91211113Y. Kravets—1110561
WJul 17 · 14:05V. Plishylo—61311143Y. Kravets—11114121
LJul 3 · 14:35V. Plishylo—11711792Y. Kravets—811611113
LJun 27 · 10:35V. Plishylo—3111181Y. Kravets—11137113
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113
Y. Kravets10
WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113WAug 29 · 07:05Y. Kravets1.501191111113O. Napirko2.5011151352LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets2.3881140R. Haiseniuk1.531113113
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