TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037484
Played Aug 29Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113411––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 58 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 62.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 10–23 Ruslan Haiseniuk Yaroslav Kravets has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Haiseniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Haiseniuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1570 vs Haiseniuk 1623
Haiseniuk
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 20% vs Haiseniuk 80%
Haiseniuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 40% vs Haiseniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets -1 · Haiseniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Haiseniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.38 / Haiseniuk 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037484
Kravets2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Haiseniuk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 139 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKravets3wins
AwayHaiseniuk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravets25%1 of 4
AwayHaiseniuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets4Haiseniuk6n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S2Kravets3Haiseniuk7n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S3Kravets4Haiseniuk6n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S4Kravets2Haiseniuk5n = 7Haiseniuk took 5 of 7
S5Kravets3Haiseniuk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKravetsHaiseniukK − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.7−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 476 vs 421 / 74949.6%56.2%236 / 476 vs 421 / 749Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukKravets 2.38/Haiseniuk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Kravets—81140R. Haiseniuk—1113113
LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Kravets—9650R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 19:05Y. Kravets—111111372R. Haiseniuk—135611113
WAug 7 · 16:35Y. Kravets—1311112113R. Haiseniuk—157111082
LAug 1 · 10:05Y. Kravets—9450R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LJul 31 · 19:05Y. Kravets—11911762R. Haiseniuk—611811113
LJul 18 · 05:05Y. Kravets—111110552R. Haiseniuk—691211113
LJul 17 · 19:05Y. Kravets—118781R. Haiseniuk—21111113
WJul 11 · 09:35Y. Kravets—1110122113R. Haiseniuk—812101172
WJul 10 · 13:05Y. Kravets—991212113R. Haiseniuk—1111101082
Y. Kravets10
LSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.