TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089167
Played Sep 7Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 65.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 6–10 Denys Shcherbak Yaroslav Kravets has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1619 vs Shcherbak 1747
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 80% vs Shcherbak 20%
Kravets
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 70% vs Shcherbak 50%
Kravets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets -1 · Shcherbak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.50 / Shcherbak 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Shcherbak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089167
Kravets2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 71 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Shcherbak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 158 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it93% 91 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKravets4wins
AwayShcherbak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravets66.7%4 of 6
AwayShcherbak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets6Shcherbak4n = 10Kravets took 6 of 10
S2Kravets3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S3Kravets1Shcherbak9n = 10Shcherbak took 9 of 10
S4Kravets5Shcherbak1n = 6Kravets took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKravetsShcherbakK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.134.2−2.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 479 vs 323 / 62449.9%51.8%239 / 479 vs 323 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakKravets 2.50/Shcherbak 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 04:35Y. Kravets—7470D. Shcherbak—1111113
WAug 7 · 18:35Y. Kravets—11117113D. Shcherbak—981161
LJul 25 · 08:35Y. Kravets—119471D. Shcherbak—91111113
WJul 10 · 15:35Y. Kravets—11115113D. Shcherbak—951141
LJun 26 · 18:35Y. Kravets—1110711122D. Shcherbak—912117143
LJun 6 · 07:05Y. Kravets—8660D. Shcherbak—1111113
WJun 5 · 18:35Y. Kravets—11118113D. Shcherbak—771121
WMay 15 · 18:35Y. Kravets—111011113D. Shcherbak—412351
LApr 24 · 19:05Y. Kravets—10380D. Shcherbak—1211103
LApr 18 · 04:35Y. Kravets—71010D. Shcherbak—1112113
Y. Kravets10
LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113LSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113WSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660LSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113
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