TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088819
Played Sep 7Finished
Ivan Romaniak
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811115118––
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Romaniak above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 60.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Romaniak 9–4 Yaroslav Kravets Yaroslav Kravets has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Romaniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Romaniak
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romaniak 1682 vs Kravets 1629
Romaniak
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romaniak 40% vs Kravets 100%
Kravets
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romaniak 30% vs Kravets 70%
Kravets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romaniak -2 · Kravets +5
Kravets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Romaniak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomaniak 1.57 / Kravets 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Romaniak)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088819
Romaniak1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 57 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it86% 44 of 51
Kravets2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 71 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomaniak8wins
AwayKravets2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRomaniak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomaniak100%5 of 5
AwayKravets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romaniak5Kravets5n = 10split evenly
S2Romaniak5Kravets5n = 10split evenly
S3Romaniak7Kravets3n = 10Romaniak took 7 of 10
S4Romaniak5Kravets0n = 5Romaniak took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomaniakKravetsR − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.729.3+8.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomaniakKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 509 vs 239 / 47845.2%50%230 / 509 vs 239 / 478Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakRomaniak 1.57/Kravets 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 15:35I. Romaniak—10870Y. Kravets—1211113
WJul 3 · 15:35I. Romaniak—124811113Y. Kravets—101111612
LJun 27 · 08:35I. Romaniak—9980Y. Kravets—1111113
WJun 26 · 15:35I. Romaniak—1113113Y. Kravets—61190
WMay 16 · 04:35I. Romaniak—881211113Y. Kravets—111110572
WMay 15 · 15:35I. Romaniak—1111113Y. Kravets—6730
WMay 2 · 05:05I. Romaniak—101111113Y. Kravets—128731
WMay 1 · 15:35I. Romaniak—141511113Y. Kravets—1217181
WApr 18 · 06:05I. Romaniak—1111113Y. Kravets—5140
WApr 17 · 16:35I. Romaniak—21111113Y. Kravets—116421
I. Romaniak10
LSep 7 · 14:55I. Romaniak2.634380S. Rak1.441111113LSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113WSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113LSep 7 · 01:45I. Romaniak1.3015860M. Smyrnov3.401711113LSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov1.401411113I. Romaniak2.7512790LSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635370LSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181LSep 1 · 08:25D. Shcherbak1.67911185113I. Romaniak2.10118161172WSep 1 · 06:55S. Rak1.507880I. Romaniak2.501111113
Y. Kravets10
WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123WAug 29 · 09:35Y. Kravets2.386111211113R. Lazebnyi1.53116101372LAug 29 · 08:35Y. Kravets3.25122921N. Kovalchuk1.33101111113
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