TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031290
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116116411511711
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Plishylo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 83 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Plishylo at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 37–17 Oleh Napirko Oleh Napirko has won 17 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Napirko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-17 in 54
Plishylo
Wrong
gap of 20 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1547 vs Napirko 1554
Napirko
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 40% vs Napirko 20%
Plishylo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Napirko 30%
Plishylo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -1 · Napirko -4
Napirko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plishylo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Napirko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.83 / Napirko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plishylo)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031290
Plishylo1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Napirko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo3wins
AwayNapirko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNapirko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylo75%3 of 4
AwayNapirko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo4Napirko6n = 10Napirko took 6 of 10
S2Plishylo5Napirko5n = 10split evenly
S3Plishylo5Napirko5n = 10split evenly
S4Plishylo1Napirko5n = 6Napirko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloNapirkoP − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.834.5−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 667 vs 442 / 87444.2%50.6%295 / 667 vs 442 / 874Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlishyloPlishylo 1.83/Napirko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plishylo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Napirko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo—11114572O. Napirko—66111193
LAug 15 · 07:35V. Plishylo—107100O. Napirko—1211123
LAug 14 · 16:35V. Plishylo—8111051O. Napirko—11512113
WAug 8 · 07:05V. Plishylo—11211113O. Napirko—411661
LNov 15 · 18:05V. Plishylo—1091151O. Napirko—12117113
LNov 15 · 01:30V. Plishylo—711851O. Napirko—11911113
LOct 11 · 16:35V. Plishylo—7860O. Napirko—1111113
WOct 11 · 24:30V. Plishylo—1111113O. Napirko—9940
LOct 5 · 09:35V. Plishylo—581181O. Napirko—11119113
WOct 4 · 13:05V. Plishylo—1111103O. Napirko—9930
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo2.00412611113R. Haiseniuk1.73111011372
O. Napirko10
WSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 09:35N. Kovalchuk1.577660O. Napirko2.251111113LSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113LSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771WSep 5 · 06:35O. Napirko2.506111111113N. Kovalchuk1.5011813682WAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113
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