TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031601
Played Aug 28Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171191012511811
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 69.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 12–20 Denys Shcherbak Volodymyr Plishylo has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-20 in 32
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1587 vs Shcherbak 1706
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 40% vs Shcherbak 60%
Shcherbak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Shcherbak 30%
Plishylo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo +1 · Shcherbak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 2.75 / Shcherbak 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Shcherbak)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13031601
Plishylo2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 97 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 33 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Shcherbak1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 146 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it76% 115 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo4wins
AwayShcherbak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShcherbak75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo2Shcherbak8n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S2Plishylo5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S3Plishylo5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S4Plishylo2Shcherbak4n = 6Shcherbak took 4 of 6
S5Plishylo2Shcherbak1n = 3Plishylo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloShcherbakP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.938.5−4.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 664 vs 306 / 59244.4%51.7%295 / 664 vs 306 / 592Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakPlishylo 2.75/Shcherbak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 08:35V. Plishylo—921161D. Shcherbak—11115113
LJul 30 · 22:00V. Plishylo—9990D. Shcherbak—1111113
WJul 25 · 04:35V. Plishylo—4151110143D. Shcherbak—1113812122
WJul 23 · 23:30V. Plishylo—15117113D. Shcherbak—1321181
LJul 16 · 22:00V. Plishylo—48141152D. Shcherbak—1111127103
LJul 2 · 23:30V. Plishylo—411771D. Shcherbak—11911113
LJun 26 · 16:05V. Plishylo—96100D. Shcherbak—1111123
WJun 26 · 02:30V. Plishylo—311116113D. Shcherbak—11881162
WJun 18 · 23:30V. Plishylo—1111113D. Shcherbak—9920
LJun 6 · 05:35V. Plishylo—9420D. Shcherbak—1111113
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo2.00412611113R. Haiseniuk1.73111011372
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113WSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660LSep 6 · 21:15D. Pesternikov1.301211113D. Shcherbak3.4010490WSep 5 · 11:35O. Napirko2.389970D. Shcherbak1.531111113WSep 5 · 10:05D. Shcherbak1.67117127113N. Kovalchuk2.10911101182WSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113WSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891
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