TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054563
Played Sep 1Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111188111210311
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 94 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 57.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 39–24 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 24 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kozachuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-24 in 63
Kozachuk
Wrong
gap of 15 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1766 vs Romaniak 1699
Kozachuk
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 60% vs Romaniak 40%
Kozachuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 60% vs Romaniak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +1 · Romaniak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.67 / Romaniak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kozachuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13054563
Kozachuk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 128
Romaniak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 122 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back28% 49 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk8wins
AwayRomaniak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk100%7 of 7
AwayRomaniak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk7Romaniak3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S2Kozachuk8Romaniak2n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S3Kozachuk7Romaniak3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S4Kozachuk2Romaniak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukRomaniakK − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.726.1+9.6per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1104 vs 225 / 49749.6%45.3%547 / 1104 vs 225 / 497Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.67/Romaniak 2.10
Miss
What we said
57%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 20:30I. Kozachuk—7470I. Romaniak—1111113
WAug 25 · 10:25I. Kozachuk—111198113I. Romaniak—87111182
WAug 24 · 12:25I. Kozachuk—111110113I. Romaniak—281231
WAug 18 · 05:05I. Kozachuk—1111113I. Romaniak—7540
WAug 17 · 18:05I. Kozachuk—1112133I. Romaniak—310110
WAug 17 · 01:00I. Kozachuk—1111113I. Romaniak—3580
WAug 11 · 05:05I. Kozachuk—91111113I. Romaniak—118671
WAug 10 · 12:35I. Kozachuk—1111113I. Romaniak—2450
LAug 9 · 20:30I. Kozachuk—981171I. Romaniak—11115113
WAug 7 · 12:35I. Kozachuk—1211113I. Romaniak—10560
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172WSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181WSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113WSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7349111172N. Kovalchuk2.00111183113WSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891
I. Romaniak10
WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113LSep 7 · 01:45I. Romaniak1.3015860M. Smyrnov3.401711113LSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov1.401411113I. Romaniak2.7512790LSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635370LSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181LSep 1 · 08:25D. Shcherbak1.67911185113I. Romaniak2.10118161172WSep 1 · 06:55S. Rak1.507880I. Romaniak2.501111113WSep 1 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.44108100I. Romaniak2.631211123LAug 31 · 18:25D. Pesternikov1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635580LAug 31 · 17:25D. Shcherbak1.731111113I. Romaniak2.007870
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