TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054617
Played Sep 1Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10128111012––––
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Pesternikov to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Denys Pesternikov at 64.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 39–30 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 30 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pesternikov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-30 in 69
Pesternikov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1915 vs Romaniak 1726
Pesternikov
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 60% vs Romaniak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 70% vs Romaniak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov +2 · Romaniak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pesternikov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romaniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 1.44 / Romaniak 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Pesternikov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13054617
Pesternikov1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 226 of 336
Up 2–0, closes it95% 124 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it85% 178 of 210
Romaniak2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 123 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back27% 49 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePesternikov8wins
AwayRomaniak2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPesternikov leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesternikov85.7%6 of 7
AwayRomaniak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesternikov7Romaniak3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S2Pesternikov7Romaniak3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S3Pesternikov8Romaniak2n = 10Pesternikov took 8 of 10
S4Pesternikov3Romaniak2n = 5Pesternikov took 3 of 5
S5Pesternikov3Romaniak2n = 5Pesternikov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPesternikovRomaniakP − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.831.4+9.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime592 / 1108 vs 226 / 49853.4%45.4%592 / 1108 vs 226 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovPesternikov 1.44/Romaniak 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Pesternikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 18:25D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—5580
WAug 27 · 21:30D. Pesternikov—961111113I. Romaniak—11119392
WAug 25 · 08:55D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—8430
WAug 24 · 15:25D. Pesternikov—1111113I. Romaniak—4920
LAug 21 · 15:35D. Pesternikov—111151082I. Romaniak—531112113
LAug 20 · 22:30D. Pesternikov—91191132I. Romaniak—115117113
WAug 18 · 08:05D. Pesternikov—1211143I. Romaniak—102120
WAug 17 · 16:35D. Pesternikov—1211113I. Romaniak—10560
WAug 16 · 21:00D. Pesternikov—12111110113I. Romaniak—101361272
WAug 11 · 08:05D. Pesternikov—671111123I. Romaniak—111138102
D. Pesternikov10
LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:55D. Pesternikov1.501311113S. Rak2.5011550WSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161LSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182WSep 7 · 02:45D. Pesternikov1.10691111113M. Smyrnov6.5011119552
I. Romaniak10
WSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100LSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:25I. Romaniak1.83811121382N. Kovalchuk1.831171411113LSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581LSep 7 · 14:55I. Romaniak2.634380S. Rak1.441111113LSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113WSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113
Upcoming Matches
D. Pesternikov
I. Romaniak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.