TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093993
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114114––––
Orest Hura
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:04 and never touched — 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Pesternikov to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Denys Pesternikov at 82.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 2–0 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Pesternikov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pesternikov 1956 vs Hura 1637
Pesternikov
Correct
both rated, 319 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pesternikov 100% vs Hura 60%
Pesternikov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pesternikov 90% vs Hura 60%
Pesternikov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pesternikov +5 · Hura +1
Pesternikov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Pesternikov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 1.17 / Hura 4.50
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Pesternikov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13093993
Pesternikov1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 232 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it96% 130 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it86% 186 of 217
Hura4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePesternikov2wins
AwayHura0wins
Pesternikov leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPesternikovHuraP − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.031.5+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime593 / 1106 vs 416 / 78053.6%53.3%593 / 1106 vs 416 / 780Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovPesternikov 1.17/Hura 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Pesternikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pesternikov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WNov 14 · 21:30D. Pesternikov—1411113O. Hura—12870
WNov 7 · 24:30D. Pesternikov—11911113O. Hura—911791
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:55D. Pesternikov1.501311113S. Rak2.5011550WSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161LSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182WSep 7 · 02:45D. Pesternikov1.10691111113M. Smyrnov6.5011119552WSep 7 · 24:45S. Rak2.502850D. Pesternikov1.501111113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Pesternikov1.401411113I. Romaniak2.7512790
O. Hura10
WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113WSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113
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