TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093985
Played Sep 8Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117911116––
Orest Hura
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 71.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 1–1 Orest Hura Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1761 vs Hura 1629
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 60% vs Hura 80%
Hura
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 70% vs Hura 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk -2 · Hura +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.36 / Hura 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kozachuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13093985
Kozachuk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 133 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 124
Hura3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 40 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back23% 6 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKozachuk1wins
AwayHura1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKozachukHuraK − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.532.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1100 vs 423 / 79350%53.3%550 / 1100 vs 423 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.36/Hura 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WNov 16 · 09:05I. Kozachuk—1111113O. Hura—5660
LNov 7 · 01:30I. Kozachuk—1151110112O. Hura—911312133
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172WSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk2.101211113D. Pesternikov1.6710970WSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk1.6711115113I. Romaniak2.10571181WSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113WSep 5 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.171111113O. Napirko4.507980LSep 5 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7349111172N. Kovalchuk2.00111183113WSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.8061111113D. Shcherbak1.91117891
O. Hura10
WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 12:35O. Hura1.731011119133M. Smyrnov2.00128811112LSep 5 · 03:00V. Vlasenko2.0011815123O. Hura1.7371113101LSep 5 · 01:30O. Hura1.91611171S. Kalenyk1.8011911113WSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Smyrnov2.0011911113O. Hura1.73611691
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