TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051505
Played Sep 1Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611911––––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:45 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 62.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 1–2 Ruslan Lazebnyi Anton Shypilov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:45What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1555 vs Lazebnyi 1540
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 100% vs Lazebnyi 40%
Shypilov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 70% vs Lazebnyi 30%
Shypilov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +5 · Lazebnyi +1
Shypilov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.50 / Lazebnyi 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13051505
Shypilov2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 195 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back29% 63 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back13% 15 of 112
Lazebnyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeShypilov1wins
AwayLazebnyi2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLazebnyi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilovn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLazebnyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov0Lazebnyi3n = 3Lazebnyi took 3 of 3
S2Shypilov0Lazebnyi3n = 3Lazebnyi took 3 of 3
S3Shypilov2Lazebnyi1n = 3Shypilov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricShypilovLazebnyiS − LBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match32.737.3−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 763 vs 43 / 8446%51.2%351 / 763 vs 43 / 84Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiShypilov 2.50/Lazebnyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 26 · 02:45A. Shypilov—921111113R. Lazebnyi—11116572
LAug 19 · 03:15A. Shypilov—65100R. Lazebnyi—1111123
LAug 6 · 21:15A. Shypilov—881161R. Lazebnyi—11115113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113LSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov2.006870S. Kalenyk1.731111113WSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla1.80711811102A. Shypilov1.91118117123LSep 1 · 23:45A. Shypilov2.10981161M. Smyrnov1.6711118113LSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura1.731311113A. Shypilov2.0011890WSep 1 · 21:15A. Shypilov2.7541111113R. Lazebnyi1.40118751
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101WSep 5 · 05:35R. Lazebnyi1.53611117113O. Napirko2.3811281192LSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 17:35O. Napirko2.38611471R. Lazebnyi1.5311311113LSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.611110751R. Lazebnyi2.2091211113LSep 1 · 21:15A. Shypilov2.7541111113R. Lazebnyi1.40118751
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