TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061266
Played Sep 2Finished
Valerii Vlasenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Anton Shypilov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 54.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 47–43 Anton Shypilov Anton Shypilov has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:23What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vlasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-43 in 90
Vlasenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1403 vs Shypilov 1520
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 0% vs Shypilov 40%
Shypilov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 10% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -5 · Shypilov -1
Vlasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 1.61 / Shypilov 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Vlasenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13061266
Vlasenko1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite43% won 37 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it62% 24 of 39
Shypilov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 199 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back30% 66 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back14% 16 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko5wins
AwayShypilov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko75%3 of 4
AwayShypilov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S3Vlasenko8Shypilov2n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S4Vlasenko6Shypilov4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S5Vlasenko0Shypilov3n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoShypilovV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.1−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 921 vs 353 / 76943.8%45.9%403 / 921 vs 353 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoVlasenko 1.61/Shypilov 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 24:30V. Vlasenko—781651A. Shypilov—111114113
WAug 26 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—18911113A. Shypilov—1611981
WAug 25 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—101111113A. Shypilov—127481
WAug 21 · 21:30V. Vlasenko—12811153A. Shypilov—10117131
LAug 16 · 07:05V. Vlasenko—11411752A. Shypilov—611711113
LAug 15 · 16:05V. Vlasenko—711841A. Shypilov—11911113
WAug 13 · 22:45V. Vlasenko—12811133A. Shypilov—10117111
LAug 13 · 03:15V. Vlasenko—81191182A. Shypilov—117119113
WAug 12 · 03:15V. Vlasenko—91111113A. Shypilov—117681
LAug 9 · 07:05V. Vlasenko—101112252A. Shypilov—1261011113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181LSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192WSep 5 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.531154131V. Vlasenko2.3881111153LSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152WSep 5 · 14:05S. Kalenyk1.915115101V. Vlasenko1.8011411123LSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592
A. Shypilov10
LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov2.006870S. Kalenyk1.731111113WSep 2 · 24:45O. Mitla1.80711811102A. Shypilov1.91118117123LSep 1 · 23:45A. Shypilov2.10981161M. Smyrnov1.6711118113LSep 1 · 22:45O. Hura1.731311113A. Shypilov2.0011890WSep 1 · 21:15A. Shypilov2.7541111113R. Lazebnyi1.40118751LSep 1 · 24:15A. Shypilov2.505690R. Lazebnyi1.501111113
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