TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073460
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211811711––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 5–4 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1667 vs Lievshin 1711
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 40% vs Lievshin 100%
Lievshin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 70% vs Lievshin 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -3 · Lievshin +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 1.91 / Lievshin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lievshin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073460
Voronenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Lievshin1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 111 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVoronenko5wins
AwayLievshin4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderVoronenko leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko100%4 of 4
AwayLievshin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Lievshin5n = 9Lievshin took 5 of 9
S2Voronenko5Lievshin4n = 9Voronenko took 5 of 9
S3Voronenko4Lievshin5n = 9Lievshin took 5 of 9
S4Voronenko5Lievshin2n = 7Voronenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home556%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVoronenkoLievshinV − LBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.135.4−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 529 vs 166 / 29445.4%56.5%240 / 529 vs 166 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinVoronenko 1.91/Lievshin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko—2870A. Lievshin—1111113
WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko—41112113A. Lievshin—1171091
WAug 28 · 12:10V. Voronenko—11113113A. Lievshin—961181
LAug 24 · 13:40V. Voronenko—861151A. Lievshin—11113113
WAug 21 · 13:40V. Voronenko—11115123A. Lievshin—7611101
WAug 17 · 13:40V. Voronenko—13611113A. Lievshin—1111481
LAug 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko—711134112A. Lievshin—1141111133
LAug 7 · 13:40V. Voronenko—12740A. Lievshin—1411113
WMay 4 · 16:39V. Voronenko—11114113A. Lievshin—521171
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102LAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.