TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049510
Played Aug 31Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513116117––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 63 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 72.5%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 41–111 Artem Yurkov Vladimir Voronenko has won 41 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-111 in 152
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 70 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1706 vs Yurkov 1643
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 100% vs Yurkov 40%
Voronenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 70% vs Yurkov 40%
Voronenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +5 · Yurkov +1
Voronenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 3.25 / Yurkov 1.33
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Yurkov)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13049510
Voronenko3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Yurkov1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 208 of 353
Up 2–0, closes it92% 81 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko1wins
AwayYurkov9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYurkov100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko2Yurkov8n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10
S2Voronenko3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko1Yurkov5n = 6Yurkov took 5 of 6
S5Voronenko1Yurkov3n = 4Yurkov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoYurkovV − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 529 vs 593 / 98845.9%60%243 / 529 vs 593 / 988Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovVoronenko 3.25/Yurkov 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 12:10V. Voronenko—913651A. Yurkov—111111113
LAug 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko—1181191A. Yurkov—61113113
LAug 10 · 11:10V. Voronenko—51060A. Yurkov—1112113
LAug 7 · 12:10V. Voronenko—9780A. Yurkov—1111113
LAug 3 · 13:40V. Voronenko—76111192A. Yurkov—111167113
LJul 27 · 12:10V. Voronenko—6770A. Yurkov—1111113
WJul 24 · 12:10V. Voronenko—119117113A. Yurkov—71191172
LJul 20 · 12:10V. Voronenko—10790A. Yurkov—1211113
LJul 17 · 16:10V. Voronenko—71111852A. Yurkov—119611113
LJul 13 · 14:10V. Voronenko—511111142A. Yurkov—118913113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
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