TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073621
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111113116811––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 72.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 4–23 Artem Yurkov Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 4 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-23 in 27
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 19 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1747 vs Yurkov 1674
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 60% vs Yurkov 80%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 50% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -1 · Yurkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 3.50 / Yurkov 1.28
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Yurkov)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13073621
Savoliuk3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Yurkov1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 138 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk1wins
AwayYurkov9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayYurkov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Savoliuk3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Savoliuk4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Savoliuk2Yurkov7n = 9Yurkov took 7 of 9
S5Savoliuk1Yurkov2n = 3Yurkov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukYurkovS − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.439.9−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 505 vs 590 / 98757.2%59.8%289 / 505 vs 590 / 987Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovSavoliuk 3.50/Yurkov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.2%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk—8111181A. Yurkov—11136113
LJul 8 · 06:20V. Savoliuk—116471A. Yurkov—71111113
LJul 1 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—61181172A. Yurkov—115117113
LJun 29 · 15:40V. Savoliuk—112841A. Yurkov—61111113
LJun 22 · 14:10V. Savoliuk—7580A. Yurkov—1111113
LMar 11 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—811191A. Yurkov—11711113
LFeb 25 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—8111151A. Yurkov—11138113
LFeb 11 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—10111061A. Yurkov—12612103
WFeb 10 · 19:20V. Savoliuk—118117113A. Yurkov—91131162
LFeb 4 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—67111162A. Yurkov—11113493
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113WSep 1 · 17:00V. Marushchak2.0011611972A. Yurkov1.73811411113
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