TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055257
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119114––––
Anatolii Nazarov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 61.3%
48 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 49–37 Anatolii Nazarov Anatolii Nazarov has won 37 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-37 in 86
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1749 vs Nazarov 1692
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 40% vs Nazarov 60%
Nazarov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 60% vs Nazarov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -1 · Nazarov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.61 / Nazarov 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055257
Savoliuk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 128 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it87% 93 of 107
Nazarov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk6wins
AwayNazarov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk75%3 of 4
AwayNazarov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S2Savoliuk4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S3Savoliuk6Nazarov4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Savoliuk3Nazarov5n = 8Nazarov took 5 of 8
S5Savoliuk4Nazarov0n = 4Savoliuk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukNazarovS − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.041.3−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 500 vs 360 / 66257.2%54.4%286 / 500 vs 360 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.61/Nazarov 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 13:00V. Savoliuk—581181A. Nazarov—11117113
LJul 17 · 15:00V. Savoliuk—1261361A. Nazarov—101115113
LJul 13 · 18:30V. Savoliuk—81130A. Nazarov—1113113
WJun 15 · 16:20V. Savoliuk—71111113A. Nazarov—115761
WJun 11 · 16:20V. Savoliuk—1161411163A. Nazarov—411169142
LJun 8 · 18:20V. Savoliuk—811691A. Nazarov—11811113
WMay 18 · 15:20V. Savoliuk—1411118113A. Nazarov—16981182
WMay 11 · 20:50V. Savoliuk—1111113A. Nazarov—9970
WMay 5 · 07:20V. Savoliuk—114117113A. Nazarov—81171162
WMay 4 · 19:50V. Savoliuk—11111111113A. Nazarov—13138762
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
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